Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.235206 0.270749 0.308997 0.353116 0.402495 0.455951 0.518088
2025-12-14 0.174763 0.221775 0.276527 0.344572 0.426402 0.521152 0.638638
2025-12-21 0.129543 0.180822 0.245265 0.331160 0.441478 0.577137 0.755141
2025-12-28 0.104727 0.159795 0.234019 0.339381 0.482758 0.668456 0.924071
2026-01-04 0.086065 0.143003 0.224992 0.348345 0.525229 0.765132 1.109497
2026-01-11 0.069350 0.125383 0.211451 0.348354 0.554567 0.846426 1.281678
2026-01-18 0.056244 0.110423 0.198978 0.347435 0.581489 0.925895 1.457506
2026-01-25 0.045756 0.097414 0.187091 0.345138 0.605183 1.001829 1.633616
2026-02-01 0.037677 0.086805 0.177172 0.344133 0.629973 1.080575 1.819072
2026-02-08 0.031298 0.077908 0.168572 0.343766 0.655058 1.160977 2.012084
2026-02-15 0.025741 0.069295 0.158885 0.339802 0.673059 1.230739 2.192494
2026-02-22 0.022167 0.064114 0.154867 0.345466 0.707852 1.329886 2.425828
2026-03-01 0.018249 0.057167 0.146157 0.341144 0.724607 1.400720 2.618951
2026-03-08 0.015552 0.052514 0.141481 0.344113 0.754936 1.496868 2.860531
2026-03-15 0.012725 0.046658 0.133001 0.337939 0.766992 1.561480 3.052123
2026-03-22 0.011440 0.044820 0.133576 0.351156 0.818125 1.699580 3.379550
2026-03-29 0.010272 0.042988 0.133833 0.363630 0.868757 1.839896 3.718619
2026-04-05 0.008807 0.039719 0.129815 0.365755 0.898133 1.942263 3.994994
2026-04-12 0.007501 0.036525 0.125358 0.366171 0.923759 2.038884 4.265855
2026-04-19 0.006335 0.033387 0.120412 0.364657 0.944898 2.127897 4.527069
2026-04-26 0.005381 0.030681 0.116139 0.364179 0.968108 2.222165 4.802748
2026-05-03 0.004584 0.028281 0.112272 0.364166 0.992217 2.319468 5.088866
2026-05-10 0.003825 0.025686 0.107218 0.360242 1.006804 2.398061 5.342523